Testing's winners and losers

02/03/2025
NEWS STORY

Three-day test suggests Red Bull and Aston Martin have work to do, while McLaren and Ferrari look to be favourites.

The one fact that leaps out is that Red Bull completed the fewest laps, completing 304 compared to Mercedes who completed 458. While nobody is saying that the Austrian team is likely to continue on the downward spiral witnessed at the end of 2024, it does look as though it will once again be relying on the brilliance of Max Verstappen, who will obviously be harbouring his own thoughts about the future.

Liam Lawson completed 149 laps - only just eclipsing Lance Stroll who was unwell on Friday - and carried out the team's only race simulation of the test, the times suggesting the Kiwi was almost a second off Lando Norris' pace in his simulation that same day.

While we are not writing off the Austrian team, unless there is a significant turnaround - which is unlikely when you consider the rules overhaul next year - it will spend the year playing catch-up to McLaren and Ferrari, whilst deflecting media questions over Verstappen's future.

Despite the excitement about the team going forward, Aston Martin faces another year of decline, which is exactly what Fernando Alonso won't want to hear.

The team failed to carry out a single race simulation, and though Stroll posted the eighth best time of the test, and the car appears more drivable, it is feared that, with an eye on 2026, the team will start near the back and is unlikely to progress much further.

That said, Adrian Newey started work yesterday - Saturday 1 March - and while his main focus is on next year's car, it is highly likely the design guru will be called upon to help improve the AMR25.

Again, it looks likely to be business as usual for Sauber - in its final season before morphing into Audi - and for this very reason we see reason to raise expectations.

On long runs and single-lap pace the Swiss team was struggling, Gabriel Bortoleto's almost 2s off Norris' pace when they were completing their race sims on Thursday.

Though the RB - Racing Bull - may well be the prettiest car on the 2025 grid, certainly in terms of liveries, looks count for little.

Isack Hadjar completed the second-most laps (243), but other than that livery there was little to impress about the team over the whole three days.

Yuki Tsunoda will no doubt give his all, but the popular little Japanese driver will no doubt be looking elsewhere having failed to win promotion to the big team.

As is the case with drivers at the big team, in the overall scheme of things RB appears to be there to make up the numbers.

Haas could prove to be one of the big surprises.

Though Esteban Ocon and Oliver Bearman were forever at the wrong end of the timesheets it should be noted that other than completing the second-most laps almost all the American team's running was on high fuel.

Ayao Komatsu continues to run the team the way he wants it, professionally, and while the test may have frustrated some of its fans, others will have noted Ocon's pace during his race sim on Friday.

Under its previous boss, Haas usually grabbed the headlines for all the wrong reasons, but under Komatsu's guidance the team appears to be heading in the right direction, and could well end up challenging at the front of the midfield this year.

Some feel that 2025 could be a break-through year for Williams. Though there remains scepticism about Carlos Sainz' decision to join the Grove outfit, there really does appear to be a genuine air of 'can do, will do' with the team.

Like its rivals, all eyes are on 2026, but the behind-the-scenes improvements, not to mention the fact that others will be even more distracted, could see the Grove outfit make a significant improvement.

Sainz ended the test quickest, and while this was no doubt all about fuel loads, teammate Alex Albon was third quickest the following day, albeit on the softer rubber.

The Grove team will head to Melbourne feeling fairly confident, and, based on those three days in Bahrain, not to mention James Vowles hard work getting the outfit back on an even footing, with good reason.

Alpine will have come away from Bahrain feeling confident, and with good reason.

Albeit briefly, Pierre Gasly topped the timesheets on Friday, before losing out to big guns Verstappen, Russell and Piastri, but his pace, combined with Jack Doohan's race sim pace on Thursday give cause to believe that the French team can be best of the rest this year.

In that battle it appears to be up against Williams and Haas, but the opinion coming out of the test is that the French team is learning from its previous mistakes.

For 2026 it switches to Mercedes, even more reason to expect a significant improvement, however, other than the unwarranted pressure on Doohan's shoulders courtesy of Briatore and Colapinto, the fact is that the 'big four' will claim the lion's share of the points, leaving the likes of Alpine to battle for the remaining scraps.

Mercedes looked good, especially when the temperatures dropped, but really doesn't look as though it has the wherewithal to match McLaren and Ferrari.

Though George Russell was quickest on the final day, he failed to match the pace of Sainz from Thursday.

Kimi Antonelli gave a good account of himself, his race sim on Thursday being particularly impressive.

There is a positive vibe coming out of the German team, but, other than the cool conditions which allowed the W16 to flourish, one has to wonder if it is enough. Also, there is the little matter of the 2026 rules overhaul, the German team keen to repeat the success of 2014.

On his race sim Charles Leclerc was only marginally off Norris' pace, though some, including McLaren, admit the Briton benefitted from the cool conditions.

As ever, fuel loads mask the true performance, but there is no doubt that there is a good feeling about Ferrari heading into the season.

Of course, there is the distraction of a certain new member of the team, but the current media frenzy will soon wear off... we hope.

Lewis Hamilton appears to be settling into the team well, and the presence of John Elkann underlines how important the seven-time world champion's presence is to the Italian outfit.

Thus far, Fred Vasseur and his team have played down the test, but the Frenchman insists that there is more to come from the car. Nonetheless, heading to Melbourne the SF-25 appears to be second-best to the McLaren.

Looking at lap times one would be forgiven for thinking that McLaren dropped the ball over the winter, for Norris could only manage 12th and Oscar Piastri 18th.

However, on their race sims both drivers were around 0.3s a lap quicker than their closest rivals. 0.3s a lap, do the maths.

Don't make the mistake that in Melbourne the Woking outfit will come out all guns blazing and go on to dominate the season, that isn't going to happen.

But at this point in time, McLaren has continued where it left off in 2024, the class of the field, the one to beat.

As did the Woking team last season, rivals will no doubt seek game-changing updates, which may or may not do the trick, but let's not forget that massive elephant in the room... the 2026 rules overhaul.

Other than that, the other factor that will probably work against the team is the rivalry between its two drivers, a rivalry that could provide much of the entertainment this year.

We may be right, we may be wrong, after all this is based on just three days of running in unusual conditions, with a number of unusual stoppages and the fact that there were no genuine blood and glory qualifying runs.

But isn't that the fun part... anticipating Melbourne and what happens of Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

Driver Test Mileage

Driver Team Laps Miles Kms
Ocon Haas 260 874.4 1407.1
Hadjar RB 243 817.2 1315.1
Russell Mercedes 232 780.2 1255.6
Antonelli Mercedes 226 760.0 1223.1
Leclerc Ferrari 220 739.8 1190.6
Tsunoda RB 211 709.6 1141.9
Doohan Alpine 209 702.9 1131.1
Albon Williams 200 672.6 1082.4
Bearman Haas 197 662.5 1066.2
Gasly Alpine 196 659.1 1060.8
Piastri McLaren 195 655.8 1055.3
Sainz Williams 195 655.8 1055.3
Norris McLaren 186 625.5 1006.6
Hulkenberg Stake 180 605.3 974.2
Bortoleto Stake 174 585.2 941.7
Alonso Aston Martin 173 581.8 936.3
Hamilton Ferrari 162 544.8 876.7
Verstappen Red Bull 155 521.3 838.9
Lawson Red Bull 149 501.1 806.4
Stroll Aston Martin 133 447.3 719.8

Team Test Mileage

Team Laps Miles Kms
Mercedes 458 1540.2 2478.7
Haas 457 1536.9 2473.3
RB 454 1526.8 2457.0
Alpine 405 1362.0 2191.9
Williams 395 1328.4 2137.7
Ferrari 382 1284.6 2067.4
McLaren 381 1281.3 2062.0
Stake 354 1190.5 1915.8
Aston Martin 306 1029.1 1656.1
Red Bull 304 1022.3 1645.2

Engine Manufacturer Test Mileage

Engine Manufacturer Laps Miles Kms
Mercedes 1540 5178.9 8334.5
Ferrari 1193 4012.0 6456.5
Honda 758 2549.1 4102.3
Renault 405 1362.0 2191.9

Best Times

Date Driver Team Tyres Time Gap
27-Feb Sainz Williams C3 1:29.348 135.500 mph
27-Feb Hamilton Ferrari C3 1:29.379 0.031
28-Feb Russell Mercedes C3 1:29.545 0.197
28-Feb Verstappen Red Bull C3 1:29.566 0.218
28-Feb Albon Williams C4 1:29.650 0.302
27-Feb Antonelli Mercedes C3 1:29.784 0.436
28-Feb Gasly Alpine C3 1:30.040 0.692
27-Feb Stroll Aston Martin C3 1:30.229 0.881
27-Feb Lawson Red Bull C3 1:30.252 0.904
28-Feb Hamilton Ferrari C4 1:30.345 0.997
27-Feb Doohan Alpine C3 1:30.368 1.020
26-Feb Norris McLaren C3 1:30.430 1.082
28-Feb Tsunoda RB C3 1:30.497 1.149
27-Feb Hadjar RB C4 1:30.675 1.327
27-Feb Alonso Aston Martin C3 1:30.700 1.352
28-Feb Ocon Haas C4 1:30.728 1.380
28-Feb Leclerc Ferrari C3 1:30.811 1.463
27-Feb Piastri McLaren C3 1:30.821 1.473
27-Feb Bortoleto Stake C3 1:31.057 1.709
27-Feb Hulkenberg Stake C3 1:31.457 2.109
26-Feb Albon Williams C3 1:31.573 2.225
26-Feb Hadjar RB C3 1:31.631 2.283
28-Feb Bearman Haas C3 1:32.361 3.013
27-Feb Ocon Haas C3 1:33.071 3.723
27-Feb Bearman Haas C2 1:34.372 5.024

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Published: 02/03/2025
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